Scientific publications of the applying research group related to the proposed research

  • Edwards, M. and Richardson, A.J. 2004. Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch. Nature 430: 881-884.
  • Lehodey, P., Alheit, J., Barange, M., Baumgartner, T., Beaugrand, G., Drinkwater, K., Fromentin, J.-M., Hare, S.R., Perry, R.I., Roy, C., van der Lingen, C., D. and Werner, F. 2006. Climate variability, fish, and fisheries. J. Clim. 19: 5009-5030.
  • Sundby, S. and Drinkwater, K. 2007. On the mechanisms behind salinity anomaly signals of the northern North Atlantic. Prog. Oceanogr. 73: 190-202.
  • Schrum, C., Alekseeva, I. and St. John, M. 2006. Development of a coupled physical-biological ecosystem model ECOSMO Part I: Model description and validation for the North Sea. J. mar. Syst. 61: 79-99.
  • Temming, A., Floeter, J. and Ehrich, S. 2007. Predation hot spots: large scale impact of local aggregations. Ecosyst. 10: 865-876.

     

  • Ådlandsvik, B. and Bentsen, M. 2007. Downscaling a twentieth century global climate simulation of the North Sea. Ocean Dyn. 57: 453-466.
  • Alheit, J. and Hagen, E. 1997. Long-term climate forcing of European herring and sardine populations. Fish. Oceanogr. 6, 130-139.
  • Alheit, J., Möllmann, C., Dutz, J., Kornilovs, G., Loewe, P., Mohrholz V. and Wasmund, N. 2005. Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s: ICES J. mar. Sci. 62: 1205-1215.
  • Beaugrand, G., Reid, P.C., Ibanez, F., Lindley J.A. and Edwards, M. 2002. Reorganization of North Atlantic marine copepod biodiversity and climate. Science 296: 1692-1694.
  • Daewel, U., Peck, M.A., Schrum, C. and St. John, M. 2008. How best to include the effects of climate-driven forcing on prey fields in larval fish individual based models. J. Plankt. Res. 30: 1-5.
  • Kühn, W., Peck, M.A., Hinrichsen, H.-H., Daewel, U., Moll, A., Pohlmann, T., Stegert, C. and Tamm, S. 2008. Defining habitats suitable for larval fish in the German Bight (southern North Sea): An IBM approach using spatially- and temporally-resolved sitze-structured prey fields. J. mar. Syst., doi: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.02.002
  • Möllmann, C., Müller-Karulis, B., Kornilovs, G. and St. John, M.A. 2008. Effects of climate and overfishing on zooplankton dynamics and ecosystem structure regime shifts, trophic cascade and feedback loops in a simple ecosystem. ICES J. mar. Sci., doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsm197.
  • Peck MA, Buckley LJ, Caldarone EM, Bengtson DA (2003) Effects of food consumption and temperature on growth rate and biochemical-based indicators of growth in early juvenile Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus). Mar Ecol Prog Ser 251:233-243
  • Pohlmann, T. 2006. A meso-scale model of the central and southern North Sea: consequences of an improved resolution. Cont. Shelf Res. 26: 2367 - 2385.
  • Reid, P.C., Edwards, M., Beaugrand, G., Skogen, M.D. & Stevens, D. 2003. Periodic changes in the zooplankton of the North Sea during the 20th century linked to oceanic inflow. Fish. Oceanogr. 12:260-269.
  • Skogen, M.D. and Moll, A. 2005. Importance of ocean circulation in ecological modelling: An example from the North Sea. J. mar. Syst. 57: 289-300.
  • Schrum, C., St. John, M. and Alekseeva, I. 2006. ECOSMO, a coupled ecosystem model of the North Sea and Baltic Sea: Part II. Spatial-seasonal characteristics in the North Sea as revealed by EOF analysis. J. mar. Syst. 61: 100-113.
  • Svendsen E., Skogen, M., Budgell, P., Huse, G., Stiansen, J.E., Ådlandsvik, B., Vikebø, F., Asplin, L. and Sundby, S. 2007. An Ecosystem Modeling Approach to predicting cod recruitment. Deep-Sea Res. II 54:2810-2821.
  • Stenevik, E.K. and Sundby, S. 2007. Impacts of climate change on commercial fish stocks in Norwegian waters. Mar. Policy 31: 19-31.
  • Wiltshire, K.H. and Manly, B.F. 2004. The warming trend at Helgoland roads, North Sea: Phytoplankton response. Helg. Mar. Res. 58: 269-273.

     

  • Alheit, J., Voss, R., Mohrholz, V. and Hinrichs, R. 2007. Climate drives anchovies and sardines into North Sea. GLOBEC Newsletter 13 (2): 77-78.
  • Andersen KP, E Ursin (1977) A multispecies extension to the Beverton and Holt theory of fishing, with accounts of phosphorus circulation and primary production. Meddelelser fra Danmarks Fiskeri og Havundersogelser, NS 7: 319-435
  • Barton AD, Greene CH, Monger BC, Pershing AJ (2003) The continuous plankton recorder survey and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Interannual- to multidecadal-scale patterns of phytoplankton variability in the North Atlantic Ocean. Prog Oceanogr 58: 337-358
  • Beare, D., Burns, F., Greig, A., Jones E.G., Peach, K., Kienzle, M., McKenzie E. and Reid, D.G. (2004). Long-term increases in prevalence of North Sea fishes having southern biogeographic affinities. Mar Ecol Progr Ser, 284: 269-278.
  • Beaugrand G (2003) Long-term changes in copepod abundance and diversity in the north-east Atlantic in relation to fluctuations in the hydroclimatic environment. Fish Oceanogr 12: 270-283
  • Beaugrand, G., Brander, K.M., Lindley, J.A., Souissi, S, Reid, P.C. (2003). Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea. Nature 426, 661-664
  • Brander K, Blom G, Borges MF, Erzini K, Henderson G, MacKenzie BR, Mendes H, Ribeiro J, Santos AMP, Toresen R (2003). Changes in fish distribution in the eastern North Atlantic: Are we seeing a coherent response to changing temperature? ICES Mar Sci Symp 219, 261-270
  • Cassou C, Terray L, Hurrell JW, Deser C (2004) North Atlantic winter climate regimes:spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time and oceanic forcing. J Climate 17:1055-1068
  • Corten A, Lindley JA (2003) The use of CPR data in fisheries research. Prog Oceanogr 58: 285-300
  • Delhez, E., J.M, P. Damm, E. de Goede, J.M. de Kok, F. Dumas, J.E. Jones, J. Ozer, T. Pohlmann, P.S. Rasch, M. Skogen, R. Proctor (2004): What can we expect from shelf seas models: the NOMADS2 Project. Journal of Marine Systems, 45, 39-53.
  • Drinkwater, K.F., Loeng, H., Megrey, B.A., Bailey, N., Cook, R.M., Loeng, H. 2005. The Influence of Climate Change on North Atlantic Fish Stocks - Proceedings of an ICES Symposium held in Bergen, Norway - 11-14 May 2004. ICES Journal of Marine Science 62, 1203-1204
  • Edwards M, Beaugrand G, Reid PC, Rowden AA, Jones MB (2002) Ocean climate anomalies and the ecology of the North Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 239: 1-10
  • Edwards M, Reid PC, Planque B (2001) Long-term and regional variability of phytoplankton biomass in the northeast Atlantic (1960-1995). ICES Journal of Marine Science 58: 39-49
  • Edwards M, Richardson AJ (2004) Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch. Nature 430: 881-884
  • Floeter J, Kempf A, Vinther M, Schrum C, Temming A (2005) Grey gurnard (Chelidonichthys gurnardus (L.)) in the North Sea. An emerging predator ? Can J Fish Aquat Sci 62 :1-12
  • Frank KT, Petrie B, Choi JS, Leggett WC (2005) Trophic cascades in a formerly cod-dominated ecosystem. Science 308(5728):1621-1623
  • Hays GC, Richardson AJ, Robinson C (2005) Climate change and marine plankton. TREE 20: 337-344
  • Heath MR, Backhaus JO, Richardson K, McKenzie E, Slagstad D, Beare D, Dunn J, Fraser JG, Gallego A, Hainbucher D, Hay S, Jónasdóttir S, Madden H, Mardaljevic J, Schacht A (1999) Climate fluctuations and the spring invasion of the North Sea by Calanus finmarchicus. Fish Oceanogr 8: 163-176
  • Janssen, F. (2002) Statistische Analyse mehrjähriger Variabilität der Hydrographie in Nord- und Ostsee. Möglichkeiten zur Validation und Korrektur systematischer Fehler eines regionalen Ozeanmodells. PhD Thesis, Fachbereich Geowissenschaften, Universität Hamburg
  • Janssen, F., Schrum, C. ,Huebner, U. and Backhaus, J. (2001): Validation of a decadal simulation with a regional ocean model for North Sea and Baltic Sea. Climate Research, 18, 55-62.
  • Janssen, F. (2002) Statistische Analyse mehrjähriger Variabilität der Hydrographie in Nord- und Ostsee. Möglichkeiten zur Validation und Korrektur systematischer Fehler eines regionalen Ozeanmodells. PhD Thesis, Fachbereich Geowissenschaften, Universität Hamburg
  • Kempf A, Floeter J, Temming A (2006) Decadal changes in the North Sea good web between 1981 and 1991 - implications for fish stock assessment. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 63:2586-2602
  • Lenhart, H.-J., T. Pohlmann, (2004) North Sea Hydrodynamic Modelling: a Review. Senckenbergiana Maritime 34:53-88
  • Leterme SC, Edwards M, Seuront L, Attrill MJ, Reid PC, John AWG (2005) Decadal basin-scale changes in diatoms, dinoflagellates, and phytoplankton color across the North Atlantic. Limnology and Oceanography 50: 1244-1253
  • Leterme SC, Seuront L, Edwards M (2006) Differential contribution of diatoms and dinoflagellates to phytoplankton biomass in the NE Atlantic Ocean and the North Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series 312: 57-65
  • Pohlmann, T., (1996): Predicting the Thermocline in a Circulation Model of the North Sea --Part I: Model Description, Calibration and Verification. Continental Shelf Research, Vol. 16, No. 2, 131-146.
  • Moll, A., and Radach, G. 2003. Review of three-dimensional ecological modelling related to the North Sea shelf system - Part 1: Models and their results, Prog. Oceanogr. 57:175-217
  • Pecquerie et al. 2004. Use of coupled circulation and ecosystem NPZD models to characterise
  • Perry AL, Low PJ, Ellis JR, Reynolds JD (2005) Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science 308, 1912-1915
  • Phillipart, C.J.M. and 8 co-authors. 2007. Impacts of climate change on the European marine and coastal environment. Marine Board - European Science Foundation, 82 pp.
  • Reid PC, Edwards M, Hunt HG, Warner JW (1998). Phytoplankton change in the North Atlantic. Nature 391: 546
  • Schrum, C., Siegismund, F. and St. John, M. 2003. Decadal variations in circulation and stratification pattern of the North Sea. Are the 90´s unusual?. ICES Symposium of hydrobiological variability in the ICES area: 1990-1999, ICES Journal of Marine Science, Symposia series, 219, 121-131.
  • Stenseth, N. C., G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, and A. Belgrano, editors. 2004. Marine ecosystems and climate variation. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
  • Sundby, S. and Drinkwater, K. 2007. On the mechanisms behind salinity anomaly signals of the northern North Atlantic. Progress in Oceanography, 73 (2): 190-202.
  • Sundby, S. 2000. Recruitment of Atlantic cod stocks in relation to temperature and advection of copepod populations. Sarsia, 85: 277-298.
  • Sundby, S. and Nakken, O. 2008. Spatial shifts in spawning habitats of Arcto-Norwegian cod related to multidecadal climate oscillations and climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 000-000 (In press).
  • Stenevik, EK. and Sundby, S. 2007. Impacts of climate change on commercial fish stocks in Norwegian waters. Marine Policy, 31: 19-31.
  • Vikebø, F, Sundby, S., Ådlandsvik, B., and Otterå, OH. 2007. Impacts of a reduced THC on transport and growth of Arcto-Norwegian cod. Fisheries Oceanography, 16 (3): 216-228.
  • Taylor AH, Allen JI, Clark PA (2002) Extraction of a weak climatic signal by an ecosystem. Nature 416: 629-63