Abstract: A simple dynamic model of halocline depth and deepwater flushing in the Baltic proper
Author: Anders Stigebrandt
Anders Stigebrandt
Dept. of
Earth Sciences/Oceanography
University of Gothenburg
Abstract
The
depth of the halocline in the Baltic proper has been recorded through
salinity observations during more than 100 years. The top has been
astonishingly stable with usually only small annual fluctuations around
about 60 m depth. However, a large transient event, during which the top
was depressed down to about 100 m depth, started in the 1980’ies and
cumulated in the first part of the 1990’ies. The volume of deepwater,
i.e. the water beneath the top of the halocline, decreased by about 65%
during the event. This had dramatic effects on the content of oxygen as
seen in minima of the areas of hypoxic and oxic bottoms in 1995. A
simple dynamic model of the deepwater of the Baltic proper is presented.
The model is used to compute long-term effects of increased mixing of
the inflowing deepwater, caused by e.g. human constructions and/or
climate change, on the depth of the halocline and on the residence time
of the deepwater. It is found that increased mixing of the inflowing
deepwater will not influence the depth of the halocline but it should
shorten the residence time and thereby improve oxygen conditions in the
deepwater which might lead to decreased phosphorus content and decreased
eutrophication. Effects of large scale pumping of surface water into
the deepwater (geo-engineering) are also discussed. Finally, the reasons
for large transient events in halocline depth are identified and
discussed using the model.